Prior to beginning work on this assignment, read Chapters 5 and 6 from the course textbook, Health Policy Analysis: An Interdisciplinary Approach and review the Differential Impacts of Technology-Network Structures on Cost Efficiency: Knowledge Spillovers in HealthcareLinks to an external site. article.

McLaughlin and McLaughlin (2024) suggest, “the health policy team must understand technology by which each policy alternative would achieve its outcomes. This is necessary in this stage of formative evaluation and later in the health policy analysis cycle for implementation planning” (p.91).

Regarding “each” of the following five forecasting methods:

• Gathering Expert Opinions
• Time Series Analysis
• Surveying and Sampling
• Correlational and Causal Modeling
• Simulation and System Modeling

Note: You should not write in first person.

• Describe techniques that can reduce the concerns about the dominance of one or two individuals in the forecasting process (Gathering Expert Opinions).
• Define time series analysis, historical data, and possible software alternative models to time series analysis (Time Series Analysis).
• Describe two pros and two cons of implementing clinical trials and survey data (Surveying and Sampling).
• Explain the relationship between correlation and causation within regression analysis (Correlational and Causal Modeling).
• Explain why it is important to forecast the impact of medical advancements and the resulting changes in the health care organization and financing of healthcare delivery (Simulation and System Modeling).

The Health Technology Assessment Process paper

• must be three to five double-spaced pages in length (not including title and references pages) and formatted according to APA StyleLinks to an external site., as outlined in the Writing Center’s APA Formatting for Microsoft WordLinks to an external site. resource.
• must include a separate title page with the following:
  • Title of paper in bold font
    • Space should appear between the title and the rest of the information on the title page.
  • Student’s name
  • Name of institution (The University of Arizona Global Campus)
  • Course name and number
  • Instructor’s name
  • Due date
• must utilize academic voice. Review the Academic VoiceLinks to an external site. resource for additional guidance.
• must include an introduction and conclusion paragraph. Your introduction paragraph needs to end with a clear thesis statement that indicates the purpose of your paper.
  • For assistance on writing Introductions & ConclusionsLinks to an external site. and Writing a Thesis StatementLinks to an external site., refer to the Writing Center resources.
• must use at least three scholarly or peer-reviewed sources published in the past 5 years in addition to the course text.
  • The Scholarly, Peer-Reviewed, and Other Credible SourcesLinks to an external site. table offers additional guidance on appropriate source types. If you have questions about whether a specific source is appropriate for this assignment, please contact your instructor. Your instructor has the final say about the appropriateness of a specific source.
  • To assist you in completing the research required for this assignment, review the Quick and Easy Library ResearchLinks to an external site. tutorial, which introduces the University of Arizona Global Campus Library and the research process, and provides some library search tips.
• must document any information used from sources in APA StyleLinks to an external site., as outlined in the Writing Center’s APA: Citing Within Your PaperLinks to an external site. guide.
• must include a separate references page that is formatted according to APA StyleLinks to an external site., as outlined in the Writing Center.
  • Refer to the APA: Formatting Your References ListLinks to an external site. resource in the Writing Center for specifications.